Extension of a dynamic micro-simulation model for the pension system

Czech Republic
Published by: Brno.AI
Published at 01/03/2023 Last update 24/07/2023
Government and public sector
Population and society

The pension system and its funding form the bedrock of a modern state, representing one of its most fundamental functions and an intricate and challenging aspect to manage effectively. Across every modern civilization, a pension system has become indispensable, as it serves as a cornerstone for providing material security to residents during their elderly years. Indeed, the stability and dependability of this system significantly impact the state's overall functioning and profoundly influence its population's happiness and well-being. Ensuring the stability and financial sustainability of the pension system, therefore, assumes paramount importance in pursuing a thriving and content society. The reliance of countless individuals on this system for their livelihoods in their old age necessitates careful analysis and diligent preparation to meet future demands. A robust and comprehensive data source dedicated to pension system analysis becomes an essential asset to achieve this. Such a data repository would encompass various demographic, economic, and societal factors, forming the backbone of evidence-based decision-making and policy formulation. Additionally, amalgamating data from multiple sources can offer deeper insights into the intricacies of the pension system's functioning, allowing policymakers to identify trends, anticipate challenges, and implement necessary adjustments proactively. Furthermore, a trustworthy and sophisticated simulation and prediction model is required to bolster the pension system's resilience. By employing advanced computational techniques and leveraging historical data, this model can simulate potential scenarios and assess the system's future performance under different circumstances. It can help evaluate the efficacy of proposed policy changes, anticipate the impact of demographic shifts, and stress-test the system's capacity to withstand economic fluctuations.


Problem or opportunity 

The primary objective of this contract is to offer consultancy services that centre around developing a cutting-edge microsimulation pension model characterized by its dynamic nature. Additionally, the agreement encompasses various related activities to support and enhance the implementation of this sophisticated model.


Expected benefits

A dynamic microsimulation model offers a crucial advantage in effectively modelling substantial populations, ranging from thousands to millions of individuals or homogeneous groups, while considering specific characteristics unique to each person. The model's foundation lies in individual data, the initial input to capture the essence of each individual or group being studied. Leveraging this information, the model generates comprehensive life histories for every population under examination. The output of this dynamic microsimulation model presents an intricate and detailed view of the life history of each modelled individual or group. This comprehensive representation provides valuable insights into the dynamics of their lives, enabling a deeper understanding of various factors influencing their experiences and trajectories over time. By simulating the diverse interactions and events that shape the lives of these individuals or groups, the model contributes to a more comprehensive and nuanced analysis, fostering informed decision-making and policy development.

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